Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 14.956836 16.970246 19.264852 22.097603 25.534359 29.613031 34.887158
2025-06-08 12.016171 14.432837 17.419820 21.459249 26.902721 34.176102 44.983684
2025-06-15 10.532814 13.133526 16.527648 21.419261 28.537073 38.957661 56.318395
2025-06-22 9.159021 11.713953 15.175342 20.393529 28.424790 41.029382 64.046975
2025-06-29 8.073136 10.526091 13.946055 19.286849 27.885905 42.182665 70.449863
2025-07-06 7.302743 9.683855 13.088933 18.577836 27.789131 43.960960 78.532676
2025-07-13 7.389043 10.061017 14.038516 20.787408 32.919699 56.313931 113.960261
2025-07-20 7.114482 9.868463 14.086280 21.513791 35.569350 64.721433 145.537341
2025-07-27 6.607544 9.273749 13.432032 20.933473 35.620358 67.636814 164.230460
2025-08-03 6.402135 9.127372 13.482623 21.601553 38.266306 77.273685 210.953720
2025-08-10 6.044680 8.709335 13.038861 21.294355 38.810982 81.978441 245.058863
2025-08-17 5.729173 8.335492 12.635641 21.010461 39.349735 86.869753 285.213823
2025-08-24 5.452213 8.019635 12.329477 20.928254 40.459606 94.184743 348.409524
2025-08-31 5.122336 7.594715 11.797980 20.335548 40.269520 97.692509 398.748487
2025-09-07 4.904297 7.342727 11.553436 20.298402 41.438476 106.083419 496.224422
2025-09-14 4.580549 6.890206 10.908642 19.344937 40.090499 105.463075 530.555616
2025-09-21 4.272491 6.448966 10.256701 18.314793 38.384355 103.076296 548.929410
2025-09-28 4.036032 6.120376 9.794294 17.654007 37.573451 103.829272 600.163212
2025-10-05 4.152417 6.414578 10.523543 19.711215 44.747614 140.161646 1212.994730
2025-10-12 4.092947 6.390651 10.637778 20.386209 48.150378 163.632016 1934.191480
2025-10-19 3.906595 6.126310 10.258738 19.846996 47.665531 167.831476 2307.369623
2025-10-26 3.852131 6.100235 10.353525 20.467719 51.093265 195.833042 4056.801081
2025-11-02 3.711354 5.906795 10.095025 20.182363 51.422692 206.489064 5554.622516